Match context

The upcoming match between FC Levadia Tallinn and Nõmme United is scheduled for 09.08.2026 16:00 in Meistriliiga. The listed venue is A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC Levadia Tallinn are in position 1 with 47 points after 20 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 50 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLDW. Nõmme United are in position 7 with 25 points after 21 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 1 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLW.

Recent results

FC Levadia Tallinn recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWWWLDWW. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nõmme United recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWLWLWLL. The averages are 2.60 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, FC Levadia Tallinn recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Nõmme United recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.29 goals per match. Both teams scored in 57.1% of those matches, while 42.9% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FC Levadia Tallinn to win with 76% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 76.39%, 15.28% and 8.33%. The model momentum difference is 68.06 points in favour of FC Levadia Tallinn. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.33%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FC Levadia Tallinn 0 / Nõmme United 0 supports Nõmme United by an average 1.24 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 29, score 82/100, 82.01% group success rate across 389 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between FC Levadia Tallinn and Nõmme United ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.29 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Nõmme United at 0. The stored market movement was 1.24 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 5-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 29. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.