Match context

The upcoming match between Trans Narva and Paide is scheduled for 16.08.2026 14:00 in Meistriliiga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Trans Narva are in position 10 with 16 points after 21 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLL. Paide are in position 4 with 35 points after 21 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDW.

Recent results

Trans Narva recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDWLLLDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Paide recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDWLWDWD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Trans Narva recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Paide recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Trans Narva 0 / Paide 0 supports Trans Narva by an average 4.10 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 78/100, 77.90% bucket win rate across 448 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Trans Narva at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.29 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 42.9%, 42.9% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 15 of 22 completed matches (68.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Paide away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.86 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 57.1%, 42.9% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 21 completed matches (61.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Trans Narva and Paide ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Trans Narva at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.29 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. In this game, Trans Narva received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.43 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 28.6%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Paide away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.86 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. In this game, Paide received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.86 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 28.6%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Trans Narva at 0. The stored market movement was 4.1 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.