Match context

The upcoming match between FC Levadia Tallinn and Trans Narva is scheduled for 21.08.2026 16:00 in Meistriliiga. The listed venue is A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC Levadia Tallinn are in position 1 with 53 points after 20 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 50 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWL. Trans Narva are in position 10 with 17 points after 21 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWL.

Recent results

FC Levadia Tallinn recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLWWWWLD. The averages are 2.60 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Trans Narva recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWDWLLLD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, FC Levadia Tallinn recorded 8 wins, there were 1 draws, and Trans Narva recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FC Levadia Tallinn to win with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 80.81%, 11.52% and 7.68%. The model momentum difference is 73.13 points in favour of FC Levadia Tallinn. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.88%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FC Levadia Tallinn 0 / Trans Narva 0 supports FC Levadia Tallinn by an average 4.36 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 23, score 80/100, 79.94% group success rate across 618 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FC Levadia Tallinn at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 25.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 22 completed matches (59.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Trans Narva away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.38 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 37.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 23 completed matches (69.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FC Levadia Tallinn and Trans Narva ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Levadia Tallinn at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. In this game, FC Levadia Tallinn received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Trans Narva away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.38 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. In this game, Trans Narva received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.63 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 25%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FC Levadia Tallinn at 0. The stored market movement was 4.36 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 23. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.