Match context

The upcoming match between Flora Tallinn and Paide is scheduled for 30.08.2026 14:00 in Meistriliiga. The listed venue is A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Flora Tallinn are in position 3 with 42 points after 20 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWL. Paide are in position 4 with 39 points after 21 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLW.

Recent results

Flora Tallinn recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLWWLWLD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Paide recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLLWDWLW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Flora Tallinn recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and Paide recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 95%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Flora Tallinn -1 / Paide +1 supports Paide by an average 8.69 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Corners Over Under — Over 8.5 (odds 1.24, score 92/100, 92.31% bucket win rate across 26 observations). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Flora Tallinn at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.71 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 16 of 23 completed matches (69.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Paide away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 62.5%, 50.0%, 37.5% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 23 completed matches (65.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Flora Tallinn and Paide ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Flora Tallinn at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.71 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. In this game, Flora Tallinn received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.86 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Paide away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, Paide received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Paide at +1. The stored market movement was 8.69 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.