Match context

The upcoming match between Vaprus and Laagri is scheduled for 09.09.2026 16:00 in Meistriliiga. The listed venue is Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vaprus are in position 7 with 31 points after 21 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLLD. Laagri are in position 6 with 31 points after 22 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 1 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 38 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLL.

Recent results

Vaprus recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLLWDWLW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Laagri recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLWLLWWW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vaprus recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Laagri recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Vaprus -0.5 / Laagri +0.5 supports Vaprus by an average 4.32 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 11 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.57% group success rate across 2197 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Vaprus at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.22 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 55.6%, 44.4%, 22.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 25 completed matches (68.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Laagri away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.14 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 14.3%, 14.3% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 26 completed matches (65.4% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Vaprus and Laagri ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vaprus at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.22 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. In this game, Vaprus received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.22 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Laagri away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.14 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. In this game, Laagri received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.14 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 14.3% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Vaprus at -0.5. The stored market movement was 4.32 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.