Match context

The upcoming match between Vaprus and Trans Narva is scheduled for 10.10.2026 11:30 in Meistriliiga. The listed venue is Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vaprus are in position 7 with 34 points after 29 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 39 scored and 57 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWW. Trans Narva are in position 10 with 19 points after 29 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 20 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 65 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDLL.

Recent results

Vaprus recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWWLDLLW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Trans Narva recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDLLWLDWL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vaprus recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Trans Narva recorded 6 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Vaprus -0.75 / Trans Narva +0.75 supports Trans Narva by an average 4.45 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 79/100, 79.32% bucket win rate across 503 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Vaprus at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.20 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 29 completed matches (69.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Trans Narva away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.18 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 54.5%, 36.4%, 27.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 21 of 29 completed matches (72.4% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Vaprus and Trans Narva ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vaprus at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.2 total cards per match. In this game, Vaprus received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Trans Narva away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.18 total cards per match. In this game, Trans Narva received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.18 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 36.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 18.2%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Trans Narva at +0.75. The stored market movement was 4.45 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.