Match context

The upcoming match between Afturelding and Vestri is scheduled for 29.08.2026 14:00 in 1. Deild. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Afturelding are in position 1 with 39 points after 15 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDW. Vestri are in position 7 with 27 points after 16 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLL.

Recent results

Afturelding recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDWLDWWW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Vestri recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLLDLLLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Afturelding recorded 3 wins, there were 3 draws, and Vestri recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Afturelding to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 71.13%, 16.17% and 12.70%. The model momentum difference is 58.43 points in favour of Afturelding. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.09%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Afturelding 0 / Vestri 0 supports Afturelding by an average 3.32 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Afturelding at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 62.5%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 20 completed matches (80.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Vestri away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.80 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 1.90 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 20.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 20 completed matches (85.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Afturelding and Vestri ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Afturelding at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, Afturelding received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vestri away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.8 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 1.9 total cards per match. In this game, Vestri received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 10%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Afturelding at 0. The stored market movement was 3.32 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.