Match context

The upcoming match between Ogre United and FS Jelgava is scheduled for 22.08.2026 14:00 in Virsliga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ogre United are in position 10 with 14 points after 24 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 5 draws and 16 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 61 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLWL. FS Jelgava are in position 7 with 25 points after 25 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 43 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

Ogre United recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLWWLWLW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. FS Jelgava recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLWWWL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ogre United recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and FS Jelgava recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ogre United -0.25 / FS Jelgava +0.25 supports Ogre United by an average 2.05 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ogre United at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.70 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 50.0%, 20.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 25 completed matches (88.0% coverage). The discipline profile for FS Jelgava away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.82 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 72.7%, 9.1%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 26 completed matches (96.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Ogre United and FS Jelgava ended 2-3. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ogre United at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.7 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.8 total cards per match. In this game, Ogre United received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.8 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FS Jelgava away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.82 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. In this game, FS Jelgava received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.18 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 9.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Ogre United at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.05 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-3, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.