Match context

The upcoming match between Super Nova and Tukums is scheduled for 10.09.2026 16:00 in Virsliga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Super Nova are in position 7 with 29 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLWL. Tukums are in position 9 with 20 points after 25 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 8 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 49 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Super Nova recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLLWWLWL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tukums recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWLLLLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Super Nova recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Tukums recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Super Nova 0 / Tukums 0 supports Super Nova by an average 4.58 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.25, score 79/100, 78.71% bucket win rate across 512 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Super Nova at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.17 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 25.0%, 8.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 27 completed matches (92.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Tukums away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.43 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 35.7%, 21.4% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 28 of 29 completed matches (96.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Super Nova and Tukums ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Super Nova at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.17 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. In this game, Super Nova received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.17 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tukums away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.43 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. In this game, Tukums received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.57 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 35.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Super Nova at 0. The stored market movement was 4.58 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.25. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.