Match context

The upcoming match between Navbahor and Xorazm is scheduled for 02.08.2026 14:30 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Navbahor are in position 5 with 21 points after 14 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDLD. Xorazm are in position 13 with 13 points after 14 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDL.

Recent results

Navbahor recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLDLDWWWW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Xorazm recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLDLWDDW. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Navbahor recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Xorazm recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Navbahor to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.48%, 23.68% and 13.84%. The model momentum difference is 48.64 points in favour of Navbahor. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.03%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Navbahor and Xorazm ended 5-1. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.33 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.