Match context

The upcoming match between Mash'al and Navbahor is scheduled for 26.08.2026 14:00 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Mash'al are in position 16 with 4 points after 16 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL. Navbahor are in position 4 with 34 points after 16 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD.

Recent results

Mash'al recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLDWLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Navbahor recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWDDLDLD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mash'al recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Navbahor recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Navbahor to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 13.64%, 19.70% and 66.66%. The model momentum difference is 53.02 points in favour of Navbahor. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.34%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.24, score 79/100, 78.70% bucket win rate across 108 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Mash'al at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 25.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 18 completed matches (44.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Navbahor away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 18 completed matches (44.4% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Mash'al and Navbahor ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Mash'al at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. In this game, Mash'al received 5 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 5 in total. That was 3.75 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Navbahor away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Navbahor received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.24. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.