Match context

The upcoming match between Neftchi and Surkhon is scheduled for 09.09.2026 14:00 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Neftchi are in position 1 with 45 points after 15 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD. Surkhon are in position 13 with 20 points after 16 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLLW.

Recent results

Neftchi recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLWWDDWW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Surkhon recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDDLLWLLW. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Neftchi recorded 3 wins, there were 6 draws, and Surkhon recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.11 goals per match. Both teams scored in 55.6% of those matches, while 44.4% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Neftchi at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.40 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 40.0%, 40.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 20 completed matches (55.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Surkhon away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 16.7%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 20 completed matches (55.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Neftchi and Surkhon ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.11 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Neftchi at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.4 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.4 total cards per match. In this game, Neftchi received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.4 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Surkhon away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.83 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. In this game, Surkhon received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.83 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.