Match context

The upcoming match between KPV-j and SalPa is scheduled for 01.08.2026 14:00 in Ykkönen. The listed venue is Kokkolan Keskuskenttä, Kokkola. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
KPV-j are in position 12 with 9 points after 16 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 50 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLWL. SalPa are in position 4 with 26 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDD.

Recent results

KPV-j recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWLLLWLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. SalPa recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDDWLWWD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, KPV-j recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and SalPa recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as SalPa to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 17.07%, 20.70% and 62.23%. The model momentum difference is 45.16 points in favour of SalPa. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.38%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair KPV-j -0.25 / SalPa +0.25 supports KPV-j by an average 1.96 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.33% group success rate across 368 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between KPV-j and SalPa ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.25 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported SalPa at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.96 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.