Match context

The upcoming match between Sydney Olympic and Sydney United is scheduled for 15.08.2026 07:00 in New South Wales NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sydney Olympic are in position 16 with 19 points after 26 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 17 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 57 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDWL. Sydney United are in position 3 with 54 points after 26 matches. The season record is 17 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD.

Recent results

Sydney Olympic recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLDWLWLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sydney United recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWLDWWDLW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sydney Olympic recorded 5 wins, there were 2 draws, and Sydney United recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Sydney United (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.85%, 21.78% and 58.37%. The model momentum difference is 38.53 points in favour of Sydney United. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.23%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sydney Olympic -0.75 / Sydney United +0.75 supports Sydney United by an average 3.08 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 77/100, 77.09% bucket win rate across 358 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Sydney Olympic and Sydney United ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sydney United at +0.75. The stored market movement was 3.08 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.