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3
🏟 Lambert Park , Sydney
✔ Full Time
1
W W W W L

🔁 Head-to-Head

0
0
0
🟢 APIA Leichhardt Tigers 🟡 Draws SD Raiders 🔴
Date Match Score

📆 Latest Matches: SD Raiders

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Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and SD Raiders is scheduled for 15.08.2026 06:00 in New South Wales NPL. The listed venue is Lambert Park, Sydney. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
APIA Leichhardt Tigers are in position 1 with 60 points after 26 matches. The season record is 19 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 59 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWL. SD Raiders are in position 9 with 35 points after 26 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 44 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLL.

Recent results

APIA Leichhardt Tigers recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWWWWWLLW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. SD Raiders recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWWLLLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.19%, 19.90% and 17.91%. The model momentum difference is 44.28 points in favour of APIA Leichhardt Tigers. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.45%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0 / SD Raiders 0 supports APIA Leichhardt Tigers by an average 1.40 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Generated: 2026-08-14 19:30:06 · Locked: 2026-08-15 07:40:06

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and SD Raiders ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 0. The stored market movement was 1.4 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-15 10:04:06
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