Match context

The upcoming match between Sydney Olympic and Marconi Stallions is scheduled for 23.08.2026 05:00 in New South Wales NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sydney Olympic are in position 16 with 22 points after 26 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 17 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 57 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLD. Marconi Stallions are in position 3 with 58 points after 26 matches. The season record is 17 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 46 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL.

Recent results

Sydney Olympic recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLDWLWL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Marconi Stallions recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLLWWWWD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sydney Olympic recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Marconi Stallions recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Marconi Stallions (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.80%, 23.45% and 56.75%. The model momentum difference is 36.95 points in favour of Marconi Stallions. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.18%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sydney Olympic at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 28 completed matches (7.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sydney Olympic and Marconi Stallions ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.