Match context

The upcoming match between Krasnodar U19 and Ural U20 is scheduled for 21.08.2026 15:00 in Youth Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Krasnodar U19 are in position 2 with 43 points after 18 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 59 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLW. Ural U20 are in position 11 with 19 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLL.

Recent results

Krasnodar U19 recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLWWWWWW. The averages are 3.50 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ural U20 recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLLLWLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar U19 recorded 7 wins, there were 1 draws, and Ural U20 recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 62.5% of those matches, while 62.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Krasnodar U19 to win with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 81.57%, 11.65% and 6.77%. The model momentum difference is 74.80 points in favour of Krasnodar U19. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Marathonbet. The stored estimated EV is -10.27%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ural U20 away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 19 completed matches (10.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Krasnodar U19 and Ural U20 ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 total goals, while this match produced 4. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.