Match context

The upcoming match between Independiente del Valle and Deportivo Cuenca is scheduled for 02.08.2026 18:00 in Liga Pro. The listed venue is Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Independiente del Valle are in position 1 with 55 points after 22 matches. The season record is 18 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 55 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Deportivo Cuenca are in position 8 with 31 points after 22 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDL.

Recent results

Independiente del Valle recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWLWWW. The averages are 2.90 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Cuenca recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDLLDWLD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Independiente del Valle recorded 8 wins, there were 1 draws, and Deportivo Cuenca recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Independiente del Valle to win with 72% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 72.29%, 16.82% and 10.89%. The model momentum difference is 61.40 points in favour of Independiente del Valle. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.47%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 79/100, 78.81% bucket win rate across 269 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Independiente del Valle and Deportivo Cuenca ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.