Match context

The upcoming match between LDU de Quito and Delfin SC is scheduled for 04.08.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The listed venue is Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
LDU de Quito are in position 6 with 32 points after 22 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLLD. Delfin SC are in position 15 with 23 points after 22 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWWL.

Recent results

LDU de Quito recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLLDDLWD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Delfin SC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWLDLLDL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, LDU de Quito recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Delfin SC recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 30%; Over 1.5 goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as LDU de Quito to win with 73% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 72.87%, 18.65% and 8.48%. The model momentum difference is 64.39 points in favour of LDU de Quito. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.73%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between LDU de Quito and Delfin SC ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.