Match context

The upcoming match between Universidad Catolica and Tecnico Universitario is scheduled for 01.08.2026 21:30 in Liga Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Universidad Catolica are in position 2 with 36 points after 22 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWL. Tecnico Universitario are in position 11 with 26 points after 22 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL.

Recent results

Universidad Catolica recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWLLLLWD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tecnico Universitario recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLLWWWWL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Universidad Catolica recorded 4 wins, there were 4 draws, and Tecnico Universitario recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Universidad Catolica to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.86%, 23.85% and 13.29%. The model momentum difference is 49.57 points in favour of Universidad Catolica. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.97%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Universidad Catolica -0.25 / Tecnico Universitario +0.25 supports Universidad Catolica by an average 1.04 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Universidad Catolica and Tecnico Universitario ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Universidad Catolica at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.04 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 5-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.