Match context

The upcoming match between Independiente del Valle and Delfin SC is scheduled for 15.08.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The listed venue is Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Independiente del Valle are in position 1 with 61 points after 23 matches. The season record is 19 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 56 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Delfin SC are in position 15 with 24 points after 23 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLW.

Recent results

Independiente del Valle recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWWWLW. The averages are 2.70 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Delfin SC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLWWLDLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Independiente del Valle recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Delfin SC recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Independiente del Valle to win with 77% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 77.30%, 14.27% and 8.43%. The model momentum difference is 68.86 points in favour of Independiente del Valle. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.24%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Independiente del Valle at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.44 yellow cards, 0.22 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 66.7%, 11.1%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 22.2%. Season card data is available for 20 of 23 completed matches (87.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Delfin SC away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.45 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 2.73 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 81.8%, 63.6%, 27.3% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 27.3%. Season card data is available for 23 of 24 completed matches (95.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Independiente del Valle and Delfin SC ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 0 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.