Match context

The upcoming match between LDU de Quito and Emelec is scheduled for 24.08.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The listed venue is Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
LDU de Quito are in position 5 with 38 points after 23 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD. Emelec are in position 13 with 29 points after 23 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLLD.

Recent results

LDU de Quito recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDLWWWDLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Emelec recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLLDLWDDW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, LDU de Quito recorded 5 wins, there were 2 draws, and Emelec recorded 3 wins. The average total was 1.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as LDU de Quito or draw (1X) with 85% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.99%, 25.13% and 14.88%. The model momentum difference is 45.11 points in favour of LDU de Quito. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.66%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for LDU de Quito at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.08 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 91.7%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 8.3% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 8.3%. Season card data is available for 24 of 25 completed matches (96.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Emelec away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.10 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 10.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 23 completed matches (95.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between LDU de Quito and Emelec ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for LDU de Quito at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.08 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. In this game, LDU de Quito received 0 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.17 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 8.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Emelec away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.1 total cards per match. In this game, Emelec received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.