Match context

The upcoming match between Libertad and Macara is scheduled for 25.08.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The listed venue is Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Libertad are in position 8 with 34 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWW. Macara are in position 2 with 41 points after 23 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWL.

Recent results

Libertad recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWLWDLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Macara recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLWWDWWLW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Macara recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Libertad -1.25 / Macara +1.25 supports Libertad by an average 1.37 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Libertad at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.58 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 1.92 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 83.3%, 66.7%, 16.7%, 16.7% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 24 of 25 completed matches (96.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Macara away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 91.7%, 66.7%, 16.7%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Libertad and Macara ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Libertad at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.58 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 1.92 total cards per match. In this game, Libertad received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2.08 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Macara away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. In this game, Macara received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Libertad at -1.25. The stored market movement was 1.37 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.