Match context

The upcoming match between Mushuc Runa SC and Delfin SC is scheduled for 28.08.2026 20:30 in Liga Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Mushuc Runa SC are in position 9 with 33 points after 23 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWWL. Delfin SC are in position 15 with 24 points after 23 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLL.

Recent results

Mushuc Runa SC recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWWLDWLLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Delfin SC recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDLLLWWL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa SC recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Delfin SC recorded 6 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.40; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Mushuc Runa SC to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.65%, 25.08% and 14.28%. The model momentum difference is 46.37 points in favour of Mushuc Runa SC. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.53 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.21%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Mushuc Runa SC at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.67 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.92 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 91.7%, 50.0%, 16.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Delfin SC away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.42 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 83.3%, 83.3%, 58.3%, 25.0% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 26 completed matches (96.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Mushuc Runa SC and Delfin SC ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 6 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.4 total corners. The match recorded 6 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Mushuc Runa SC at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.67 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.92 total cards per match. In this game, Mushuc Runa SC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.92 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Delfin SC away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.42 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, Delfin SC received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.33 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 58.3% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 25%.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.