Match context

The upcoming match between Aucas and Barcelona SC is scheduled for 07.09.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Aucas are in position 2 with 44 points after 23 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWL. Barcelona SC are in position 6 with 39 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLDL.

Recent results

Aucas recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWLDWWLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Barcelona SC recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDLLDLLW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aucas recorded 3 wins, there were 4 draws, and Barcelona SC recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Aucas or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.77%, 26.60% and 18.62%. The model momentum difference is 36.15 points in favour of Aucas. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -0.72%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Aucas -0.25 / Barcelona SC +0.25 supports Aucas by an average 12.71 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 18 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Aucas at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.54 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.69 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 61.5%, 46.2%, 38.5% and 15.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 7.7%. Season card data is available for 26 of 26 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Barcelona SC away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.55 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.55 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 72.7%, 54.5%, 36.4% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Aucas and Barcelona SC ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Aucas at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.54 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.69 total cards per match. In this game, Aucas received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.31 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 46.2% of matches, 5+ in 15.4%, and a red card in 7.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Barcelona SC away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.55 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.55 total cards per match. In this game, Barcelona SC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.55 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 54.5% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Aucas at -0.25. The stored market movement was 12.71 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.