Match context

The upcoming match between Deportivo Cuenca and Libertad is scheduled for 07.09.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Deportivo Cuenca are in position 11 with 32 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLW. Libertad are in position 8 with 34 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWW.

Recent results

Deportivo Cuenca recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLLLWLLD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Libertad recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWWWWLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Libertad recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.13 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Deportivo Cuenca or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 53.39%, 27.17% and 19.44%. The model momentum difference is 33.94 points in favour of Deportivo Cuenca. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.95%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Deportivo Cuenca -0.25 / Libertad +0.25 supports Libertad by an average 2.87 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 11 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Deportivo Cuenca at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.08 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 84.6%, 69.2%, 46.2%, 30.8% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 23.1%. Season card data is available for 26 of 27 completed matches (96.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Libertad away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.31 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 84.6%, 30.8%, 15.4% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 27 of 28 completed matches (96.4% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Deportivo Cuenca and Libertad ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.13 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Cuenca at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.08 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Cuenca received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.69 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 46.2% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 23.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Libertad away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.31 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. In this game, Libertad received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.31 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30.8% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Libertad at +0.25. The stored market movement was 2.87 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.