Match context

The upcoming match between LDU de Quito and Deportivo Cuenca is scheduled for 13.09.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The listed venue is Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
LDU de Quito are in position 5 with 45 points after 23 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWW. Deportivo Cuenca are in position 12 with 35 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLDL.

Recent results

LDU de Quito recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLWWDWDL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Cuenca recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLLLWLL. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, LDU de Quito recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Deportivo Cuenca recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as LDU de Quito or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.95%, 21.46% and 18.59%. The model momentum difference is 41.37 points in favour of LDU de Quito. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -3.93%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair LDU de Quito 0 / Deportivo Cuenca 0 supports Deportivo Cuenca by an average 4.83 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 13 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 3.5 (odds 1.40, score 98/100, 90% bucket win rate across 20 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for LDU de Quito at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 1.93 yellow cards, 0.21 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.9%, 64.3%, 35.7%, 7.1% and 7.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 21.4%. Season card data is available for 28 of 29 completed matches (96.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Cuenca away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 1.77 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 69.2%, 15.4%, 7.7% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 23.1%. Season card data is available for 27 of 28 completed matches (96.4% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between LDU de Quito and Deportivo Cuenca ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for LDU de Quito at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 1.93 yellow cards, 0.21 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. In this game, LDU de Quito received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.14 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 35.7% of matches, 5+ in 7.1%, and a red card in 21.4%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Cuenca away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 1.77 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Cuenca received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 15.4% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 23.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Deportivo Cuenca at 0. The stored market movement was 4.83 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.