Match context

The upcoming match between Libertad and Independiente del Valle is scheduled for 13.09.2026 23:00 in Liga Pro. The listed venue is Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Libertad are in position 7 with 41 points after 29 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWD. Independiente del Valle are in position 1 with 71 points after 29 matches. The season record is 23 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 70 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDWW.

Recent results

Libertad recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWDWWWWL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Independiente del Valle recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDWWWWWW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Libertad recorded 2 wins, there were 4 draws, and Independiente del Valle recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.44 goals per match. Both teams scored in 55.6% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.20; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Libertad 0 / Independiente del Valle 0 supports Libertad by an average 3.78 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 16 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Libertad at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 1.79 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.07 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 85.7%, 71.4%, 21.4%, 21.4% and 7.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 21.4%. Season card data is available for 28 of 29 completed matches (96.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Independiente del Valle away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.46 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.62 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 84.6%, 84.6%, 46.2%, 23.1% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 15.4%. Season card data is available for 26 of 29 completed matches (89.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Libertad and Independiente del Valle ended 2-3. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 10 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.44 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.2 total corners. The match recorded 10 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Libertad at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 1.79 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.07 total cards per match. In this game, Libertad received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.07 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 21.4% of matches, 5+ in 7.1%, and a red card in 21.4%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Independiente del Valle away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.46 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.62 total cards per match. In this game, Independiente del Valle received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.62 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 46.2% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 15.4%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Libertad at 0. The stored market movement was 3.78 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-3, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.