Match context

The upcoming match between Nõmme Kalju II and Tallinna Kalev is scheduled for 20.08.2026 12:00 in Esiliiga A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Nõmme Kalju II are in position 10 with 19 points after 21 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 55 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD. Tallinna Kalev are in position 5 with 32 points after 21 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 42 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWL.

Recent results

Nõmme Kalju II recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLDDLLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tallinna Kalev recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWWLDWWL. The averages are 2.80 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju II recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Tallinna Kalev recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.63 goals per match. Both teams scored in 62.5% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Nõmme Kalju II 0 / Tallinna Kalev 0 supports Tallinna Kalev by an average 6.16 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 31, score 60/100, 60% group success rate across 10 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Tallinna Kalev away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 23 completed matches (8.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Nõmme Kalju II and Tallinna Kalev ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.63 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Tallinna Kalev at 0. The stored market movement was 6.16 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 31. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.