Match context

The upcoming match between Ceara and Cuiaba is scheduled for 15.08.2026 19:00 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ceara are in position 16 with 22 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDDL. Cuiaba are in position 14 with 25 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLDW.

Recent results

Ceara recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDDLLLDW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Cuiaba recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLLDWDLWW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ceara recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Cuiaba recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1.75 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 25% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.35; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ceara -0.75 / Cuiaba +0.75 supports Cuiaba by an average 2.96 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ceara at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.70 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Cuiaba away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.11 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 11.1%, 11.1% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Ceara and Cuiaba ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 8 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.75 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11.35 total corners. The match recorded 8 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ceara at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.7 total cards per match. In this game, Ceara received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.7 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cuiaba away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.11 total cards per match. In this game, Cuiaba received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.11 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 11.1% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Cuiaba at +0.75. The stored market movement was 2.96 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.