Match context

The upcoming match between Operario-PR and Avai is scheduled for 16.08.2026 14:00 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Operario-PR are in position 3 with 35 points after 20 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWW. Avai are in position 18 with 20 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWL.

Recent results

Operario-PR recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDWWWWLW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Avai recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDWLLWLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Operario-PR recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Avai recorded 5 wins. The average total was 1.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 22.2% of those matches, while 11.1% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.30; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Operario-PR or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 52.40%, 27.74% and 19.86%. The model momentum difference is 32.54 points in favour of Operario-PR. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.43%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Operario-PR at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.09 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 72.7%, 18.2%, 9.1% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Avai away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 3.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 44.4%, 22.2% and 22.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Operario-PR and Avai ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 6 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.33 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 77.8%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 88.9%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.3 total corners. The match recorded 6 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Operario-PR at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.09 total cards per match. In this game, Operario-PR received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.09 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 18.2% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 9.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Avai away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 3.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.22 total cards per match. In this game, Avai received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.22 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 22.2%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.