Match context

The upcoming match between Ponte Preta and Nautico Recife is scheduled for 14.08.2026 22:30 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ponte Preta are in position 20 with 9 points after 20 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLL. Nautico Recife are in position 13 with 25 points after 20 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLLD.

Recent results

Ponte Preta recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLLLLLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nautico Recife recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWLLDLLDL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta recorded 6 wins, there were 2 draws, and Nautico Recife recorded 2 wins. The average total was 1.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 91%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

An earlier confirmed reversal signal with Pinnacle supported Ponte Preta through Home +0.5. The newer normalized movement for Ponte Preta -0.75 / Nautico Recife +0.75 supports Ponte Preta by an average 2.54 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. The directions conflict, so the Asian signal is not used as a standalone selection.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ponte Preta at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.27 yellow cards, 0.36 red cards and 3.64 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 63.6%, 63.6% and 36.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 27.3%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Nautico Recife away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 44.4%, 22.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Ponte Preta and Nautico Recife ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 12 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.6 total corners. The match recorded 12 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 91%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ponte Preta at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3.27 yellow cards, 0.36 red cards and 3.64 total cards per match. In this game, Ponte Preta received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.64 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 63.6% of matches, 5+ in 36.4%, and a red card in 27.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nautico Recife away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.33 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, Nautico Recife received 5 yellow cards and 2 red cards, 7 in total. That was 4.67 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.