Match context

The upcoming match between São Bernardo and Nautico Recife is scheduled for 23.08.2026 19:00 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
São Bernardo are in position 12 with 30 points after 20 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLD. Nautico Recife are in position 15 with 27 points after 20 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDWL.

Recent results

São Bernardo recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLLDDLLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nautico Recife recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDDWLLDLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo recorded 0 wins, there were 3 draws, and Nautico Recife recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 25% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.80; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair São Bernardo 0 / Nautico Recife 0 supports São Bernardo by an average 1.85 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 15 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for São Bernardo at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.42 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 91.7%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Nautico Recife away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 50.0%, 30.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between São Bernardo and Nautico Recife ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 7 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.25 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11.8 total corners. The match recorded 7 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for São Bernardo at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.42 total cards per match. In this game, São Bernardo received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.42 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nautico Recife away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.6 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.8 total cards per match. In this game, Nautico Recife received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.8 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported São Bernardo at 0. The stored market movement was 1.85 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.