Match context

The upcoming match between Sport Recife and America Mineiro is scheduled for 24.08.2026 22:30 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sport Recife are in position 6 with 35 points after 20 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 11 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDD. America Mineiro are in position 19 with 11 points after 20 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLD.

Recent results

Sport Recife recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDDDDLLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. America Mineiro recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLDDLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sport Recife recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and America Mineiro recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sport Recife or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.12%, 26.03% and 17.85%. The model momentum difference is 38.27 points in favour of Sport Recife. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -3.89%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sport Recife -0.5 / America Mineiro +0.5 supports Sport Recife by an average 2.08 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, Unibet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sport Recife at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.55 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 72.7%, 36.4%, 27.3% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for America Mineiro away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.64 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.73 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 36.4%, 36.4% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sport Recife and America Mineiro ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sport Recife at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.55 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. In this game, Sport Recife received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.64 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 36.4% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 9.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for America Mineiro away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.64 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.73 total cards per match. In this game, America Mineiro received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.73 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 36.4% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sport Recife at -0.5. The stored market movement was 2.08 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.