Match context

The upcoming match between America Mineiro and Nautico Recife is scheduled for 09.09.2026 23:30 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
America Mineiro are in position 19 with 14 points after 20 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. Nautico Recife are in position 10 with 37 points after 20 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWD.

Recent results

America Mineiro recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLLWLDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nautico Recife recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWDDDWLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, America Mineiro recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Nautico Recife recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.44 goals per match. Both teams scored in 44.4% of those matches, while 55.6% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.70; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair America Mineiro 0 / Nautico Recife 0 supports America Mineiro by an average 1.05 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 43 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.05). Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for America Mineiro at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.67 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 83.3%, 50.0%, 25.0%, 8.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Nautico Recife away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.45 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 63.6%, 45.5%, 27.3% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between America Mineiro and Nautico Recife ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 15 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.44 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.7 total corners. The match recorded 15 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for America Mineiro at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.67 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. In this game, America Mineiro received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nautico Recife away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.45 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. In this game, Nautico Recife received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.64 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 45.5% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported America Mineiro at 0. The stored market movement was 1.05 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.05. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 15 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.