Match context

The upcoming match between Botafogo SP and Novorizontino is scheduled for 09.09.2026 22:30 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Botafogo SP are in position 15 with 31 points after 20 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDW. Novorizontino are in position 3 with 46 points after 20 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD.

Recent results

Botafogo SP recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDWWLWDD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Novorizontino recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWDLWLLL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Novorizontino recorded 5 wins. The average total was 1.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 13; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Botafogo SP -1 / Novorizontino +1 supports Novorizontino by an average 10.10 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 49 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Botafogo SP at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.90 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 80.0%, 60.0%, 30.0%, 30.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Novorizontino away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.08 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 2.15 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.3%, 69.2%, 38.5%, 7.7% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 7.7%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Botafogo SP and Novorizontino ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 12 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.7 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 13 total corners. The match recorded 12 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Botafogo SP at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.9 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Botafogo SP received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Novorizontino away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.08 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 2.15 total cards per match. In this game, Novorizontino received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.15 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 38.5% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 7.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Novorizontino at +1. The stored market movement was 10.1 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.