Match context

The upcoming match between Cuiaba and Athletic Club is scheduled for 08.09.2026 23:30 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Cuiaba are in position 13 with 36 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWW. Athletic Club are in position 11 with 37 points after 20 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLW.

Recent results

Cuiaba recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWDDLLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Athletic Club recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWWDWDD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiaba recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Athletic Club recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1.67 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.50; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Cuiaba or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 49.68%, 30.45% and 19.87%. The model momentum difference is 29.81 points in favour of Cuiaba. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.45%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Cuiaba 0 / Athletic Club 0 supports Athletic Club by an average 2.63 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 20 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Cuiaba at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.17 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 91.7%, 58.3%, 41.7%, 16.7% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 8.3%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Athletic Club away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 3.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 60.0%, 50.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Cuiaba and Athletic Club ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 8 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.67 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.5 total corners. The match recorded 8 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cuiaba at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.17 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Cuiaba received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 41.7% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 8.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Athletic Club away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.4 red cards and 3.4 total cards per match. In this game, Athletic Club received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 3.4 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 40%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Athletic Club at 0. The stored market movement was 2.63 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.