Match context

The upcoming match between Vila Nova and Goias is scheduled for 10.09.2026 22:30 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vila Nova are in position 4 with 44 points after 20 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWW. Goias are in position 12 with 36 points after 20 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLL.

Recent results

Vila Nova recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWLLWLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Goias recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLLWLDWD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Goias recorded 2 wins. The average total was 1.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 20%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Vila Nova -0.5 / Goias +0.5 supports Vila Nova by an average 1.07 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Vila Nova at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.18 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.27 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 54.5%, 27.3%, 27.3% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Goias away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.08 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.3%, 69.2%, 46.2%, 15.4% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 15.4%. Season card data is available for 26 of 26 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Vila Nova and Goias ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.4 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vila Nova at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.18 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.27 total cards per match. In this game, Vila Nova received 6 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 6 in total. That was 3.73 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.3% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 9.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Goias away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.08 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. In this game, Goias received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.31 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 46.2% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 15.4%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Vila Nova at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.07 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.