Match context

The upcoming match between Fortaleza EC and Ceara is scheduled for 13.09.2026 21:30 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Fortaleza EC are in position 4 with 47 points after 27 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWD. Ceara are in position 16 with 31 points after 27 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWL.

Recent results

Fortaleza EC recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWDDDWLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ceara recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWLLWWLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza EC recorded 0 wins, there were 5 draws, and Ceara recorded 5 wins. The average total was 1.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.40; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Fortaleza EC 0 / Ceara 0 supports Ceara by an average 3.17 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 16 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Fortaleza EC at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.15 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.15 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 84.6%, 61.5%, 46.2%, 23.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Ceara away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.15 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 84.6%, 61.5%, 53.8%, 30.8% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 15.4%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Fortaleza EC and Ceara ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 7 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11.4 total corners. The match recorded 7 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Fortaleza EC at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.15 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.15 total cards per match. In this game, Fortaleza EC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.15 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 46.2% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ceara away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.15 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. In this game, Ceara received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.31 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 53.8% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 15.4%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Ceara at 0. The stored market movement was 3.17 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.