Match context

The upcoming match between Juventude and Athletic Club is scheduled for 13.09.2026 21:00 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Juventude are in position 1 with 50 points after 27 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWW. Athletic Club are in position 12 with 37 points after 27 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 10 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL.

Recent results

Juventude recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDWWDWLDW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Athletic Club recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLWWDWD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Juventude recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Athletic Club recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.90; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 93%; over 9.5 corners — 83%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Juventude or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.04%, 28.36% and 15.60%. The model momentum difference is 40.44 points in favour of Juventude. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.47%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Juventude -0.75 / Athletic Club +0.75 supports Juventude by an average 1.25 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Juventude at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 1.86 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 78.6%, 50.0%, 42.9%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Athletic Club away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.77 yellow cards, 0.46 red cards and 3.23 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.3%, 92.3%, 53.8%, 46.2% and 23.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 38.5%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Juventude and Athletic Club ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 6 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 7.9 total corners. The match recorded 6 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 93%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 83%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Juventude at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 1.86 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. In this game, Juventude received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.14 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Athletic Club away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.77 yellow cards, 0.46 red cards and 3.23 total cards per match. In this game, Athletic Club received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.23 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 53.8% of matches, 5+ in 23.1%, and a red card in 38.5%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Juventude at -0.75. The stored market movement was 1.25 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.