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W D W W W
4
🏟 Estádio Santa Cruz , Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
✔ Full Time
0
W L L L W
Ball possession
51%
49%
3.08
Expected goals (xG)
0.25
16
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
0
7
Shots off target
5
3
Corner kicks
2
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
2
Offsides
3
7
Shots inside the box
3
9
Shots outside the box
5
2
Blocked shots
3
0
Goalkeeper saves
3
17
Fouls
14
414
Accurate passes
402
481
Total passes
472
14
Free Kicks
17

🔁 Head-to-Head

3
3
1
🟢 Botafogo SP 🟡 Draws Londrina 🔴
Date Match Score
18.07.2026 Londrina - Botafogo SP 0 : 0
25.11.2023 Botafogo SP - Londrina 0 : 1
24.07.2023 Londrina - Botafogo SP 1 : 2
16.11.2019 Londrina - Botafogo SP 1 : 1
20.08.2019 Botafogo SP - Londrina 2 : 1
04.08.2013 Londrina - Botafogo SP 0 : 0
20.07.2013 Botafogo SP - Londrina 2 : 0

🗓 Latest Matches: Botafogo SP

Date Match Score Res
14.11.2026 Juventude - Botafogo SP 2 - 0 L
05.11.2026 Botafogo SP - Londrina 4 - 0 W
31.10.2026 Botafogo SP - Sport Recife 1 - 1 D
24.10.2026 Avai - Botafogo SP 0 - 2 W
18.10.2026 CRB - Botafogo SP 0 - 1 W

📆 Latest Matches: Londrina

Date Match Score Res
11.11.2026 Londrina - Nautico Recife 2 - 1 W
05.11.2026 Botafogo SP - Londrina 4 - 0 L
01.11.2026 Londrina - America Mineiro 1 - 3 L
24.10.2026 CRB - Londrina 2 - 1 L
20.10.2026 Londrina - Cuiaba 1 - 0 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Botafogo SP and Londrina is scheduled for 05.11.2026 22:30 in Serie B. The listed venue is Estádio Santa Cruz, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Botafogo SP are in position 12 with 48 points after 36 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 9 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 41 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWW. Londrina are in position 18 with 32 points after 36 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 8 draws and 20 losses. The goals record is 45 scored and 54 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDL.

Recent results

Botafogo SP recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWLWDLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Londrina recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDLLLLWW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP recorded 3 wins, there were 3 draws, and Londrina recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.57 goals per match. Both teams scored in 42.9% of those matches, while 28.6% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Botafogo SP or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.21%, 26.05% and 19.74%. The model momentum difference is 34.46 points in favour of Botafogo SP. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.30%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Botafogo SP -0.75 / Londrina +0.75 supports Botafogo SP by an average 1.12 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Botafogo SP at home is based on 18 matches. The team averages 1.94 yellow cards, 0.06 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 55.6%, 27.8%, 27.8% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 5.6%. Season card data is available for 36 of 36 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Londrina away from home is based on 18 matches. The team averages 2.44 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.56 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 50.0%, 16.7% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 36 of 36 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-11-04 23:30:06 · Locked: 2026-11-05 23:10:53

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Botafogo SP and Londrina ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.57 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 71.4%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Botafogo SP at home was based on 18 matches, with averages of 1.94 yellow cards, 0.06 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Botafogo SP received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.8% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 5.6%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Londrina away from home was based on 18 matches, with averages of 2.44 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.56 total cards per match. In this game, Londrina received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.44 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Botafogo SP at -0.75. The stored market movement was 1.12 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-11-06 01:51:47
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