Match context

The upcoming match between Narva U21 and JK Tabasalu is scheduled for 29.08.2026 12:00 in Esiliiga B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Narva U21 are in position 2 with 45 points after 20 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 53 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWW. JK Tabasalu are in position 8 with 29 points after 21 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 0 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 55 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDLL.

Recent results

Narva U21 recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWWWLWWW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. JK Tabasalu recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDLLLLWLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 recorded 3 wins, there were 0 draws, and JK Tabasalu recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Narva U21 to win with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 84.34%, 9.59% and 6.07%. The model momentum difference is 78.27 points in favour of Narva U21. The input data quality score is 86/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.08 with William Hill. The stored estimated EV is -8.91%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.65).

What happened in the match

The match between Narva U21 and JK Tabasalu ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.33 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.65. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.