Match context

The upcoming match between Oakleigh Cannons and Green Gully is scheduled for 14.08.2026 10:15 in Victoria NPL. The listed venue is Jack Edwards Reserve, Melbourne. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Oakleigh Cannons are in position 1 with 48 points after 23 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 45 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWD. Green Gully are in position 13 with 15 points after 23 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 45 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWLW.

Recent results

Oakleigh Cannons recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWDWWDWW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Green Gully recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWLWWLLDL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Oakleigh Cannons recorded 7 wins, there were 1 draws, and Green Gully recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Oakleigh Cannons to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 71.07%, 15.04% and 13.89%. The model momentum difference is 57.18 points in favour of Oakleigh Cannons. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.74%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Oakleigh Cannons +0.25 / Green Gully -0.25 supports Green Gully by an average 4.19 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Oakleigh Cannons and Green Gully ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Green Gully at -0.25. The stored market movement was 4.19 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.