Match context

The upcoming match between Dandenong Thunder and Oakleigh Cannons is scheduled for 22.08.2026 07:15 in Victoria NPL. The listed venue is George Andrews Reserve, Melbourne. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Dandenong Thunder are in position 14 with 15 points after 23 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 16 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLW. Oakleigh Cannons are in position 1 with 51 points after 23 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 45 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWW.

Recent results

Dandenong Thunder recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWLLLLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 3.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Oakleigh Cannons recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWWDWWDW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Oakleigh Cannons recorded 6 wins. The average total was 3.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Oakleigh Cannons to win with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 4.84%, 12.27% and 82.89%. The model momentum difference is 78.05 points in favour of Oakleigh Cannons. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.99%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Dandenong Thunder 0 / Oakleigh Cannons 0 supports Oakleigh Cannons by an average 2.52 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even - First Half — Even (odds 1.82).

What happened in the match

The match between Dandenong Thunder and Oakleigh Cannons ended 0-5. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Oakleigh Cannons at 0. The stored market movement was 2.52 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-5, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Even HT goals at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was Even HT goals. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.