Match context

The upcoming match between St. Albans Saints and Dandenong Thunder is scheduled for 29.08.2026 05:00 in Victoria NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
St. Albans Saints are in position 9 with 31 points after 23 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWD. Dandenong Thunder are in position 14 with 15 points after 23 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 16 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

St. Albans Saints recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWDDDLWD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Dandenong Thunder recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLWLLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 3.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, St. Albans Saints recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Dandenong Thunder recorded 6 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as St. Albans Saints to win with 74% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 73.67%, 16.34% and 9.99%. The model momentum difference is 63.69 points in favour of St. Albans Saints. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.12%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair St. Albans Saints +0.25 / Dandenong Thunder -0.25 supports St. Albans Saints by an average 4.39 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even - First Half — Even (odds 1.82).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Dandenong Thunder away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.50 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 25 completed matches (8.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between St. Albans Saints and Dandenong Thunder ended 6-0. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported St. Albans Saints at +0.25. The stored market movement was 4.39 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 6-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Even HT goals at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was Even HT goals. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.