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🟢 Melbourne City II 🟡 Draws South Melbourne 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Melbourne City II

Date Match Score Res
01.08.2026 Hume City - Melbourne City II 1 - 0 L
25.07.2026 Melbourne City II - Avondale 2 - 3 L
18.07.2026 Sunshine Georgies - Melbourne City II 1 - 0 L
11.07.2026 Melbourne City II - Heidelberg United 2 - 2 D
04.07.2026 Altona Magic - Melbourne City II 0 - 3 W

📆 Latest Matches: South Melbourne

Date Match Score Res
09.08.2026 South Melbourne - Fremantle City 3 - 3 D
02.08.2026 South Melbourne - St. Albans Saints 2 - 0 W
30.07.2026 South Melbourne - Adelaide United 2 - 1 W
24.07.2026 Oakleigh Cannons - South Melbourne 1 - 2 W
18.07.2026 South Melbourne - Preston Lions 0 - 0 D

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Melbourne City II and South Melbourne is scheduled for 15.08.2026 05:00 in Victoria NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Melbourne City II are in position 8 with 30 points after 22 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 39 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDW. South Melbourne are in position 5 with 38 points after 23 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWW.

Recent results

Melbourne City II recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDWWLLWW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. South Melbourne recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWDWWLWL. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as South Melbourne to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 17.73%, 21.11% and 61.15%. The model momentum difference is 43.42 points in favour of South Melbourne. The input data quality score is 87/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.33%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Melbourne City II 0 / South Melbourne 0 supports South Melbourne by an average 3.17 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Generated: 2026-08-14 19:30:06 · Locked: 2026-08-15 06:40:04

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Melbourne City II and South Melbourne ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported South Melbourne at 0. The stored market movement was 3.17 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-15 08:55:03
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