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🟢 Port Melbourne 🟡 Draws Eltham Redbacks FC 🔴
Date Match Score
08.05.2026 Eltham Redbacks FC - Port Melbourne 8 : 0

🗓 Latest Matches: Port Melbourne

Date Match Score Res
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11.07.2026 Port Melbourne - North Sunshine Eagles 0 - 5 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Port Melbourne and Eltham Redbacks FC is scheduled for 22.08.2026 04:00 in Victoria NPL 2. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Port Melbourne are in position 14 with 17 points after 23 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWL. Eltham Redbacks FC are in position 7 with 35 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 49 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDW.

Recent results

Port Melbourne recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWLDLDLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Eltham Redbacks FC recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDWWLLDL. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Eltham Redbacks FC recorded 1 wins. The average total was 8 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Eltham Redbacks FC to win with 72% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 12.79%, 15.57% and 71.64%. The model momentum difference is 58.84 points in favour of Eltham Redbacks FC. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Port Melbourne 0 / Eltham Redbacks FC 0 supports Eltham Redbacks FC by an average 7.52 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.65). At least one goal in the match (quota 23, score 80/100, 79.94% group success rate across 618 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Port Melbourne at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 2.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 24 completed matches (12.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Eltham Redbacks FC away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 24 completed matches (4.2% coverage).

Generated: 2026-08-21 19:00:09 · Locked: 2026-08-22 05:40:06

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Port Melbourne and Eltham Redbacks FC ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Eltham Redbacks FC at 0. The stored market movement was 7.52 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.65. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 23. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-22 07:49:06
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