Match context

The upcoming match between Ferroviaria W and Fluminense W is scheduled for 22.08.2026 21:00 in Brasileiro Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ferroviaria W are in position 4 with 30 points after 14 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWDW. Fluminense W are in position 8 with 25 points after 14 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLD.

Recent results

Ferroviaria W recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWDWLDD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Fluminense W recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDLLDWLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria W recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Fluminense W recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ferroviaria W to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.48%, 23.68% and 13.84%. The model momentum difference is 48.64 points in favour of Ferroviaria W. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.03%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ferroviaria W -0.25 / Fluminense W +0.25 supports Ferroviaria W by an average 3.44 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Ferroviaria W and Fluminense W ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Ferroviaria W at -0.25. The stored market movement was 3.44 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.