Match context

The upcoming match between Beijing Guoan and Sichuan Jiuniu is scheduled for 07.08.2026 11:35 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Beijing Guoan are in position 7 with 26 points after 20 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWW. Sichuan Jiuniu are in position 10 with 23 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWL.

Recent results

Beijing Guoan recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDWWWWLD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLWLLWWD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Sichuan Jiuniu recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Beijing Guoan to win with 69% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 68.81%, 18.72% and 12.48%. The model momentum difference is 56.33 points in favour of Beijing Guoan. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.42%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Beijing Guoan +0.25 / Sichuan Jiuniu -0.25 supports Sichuan Jiuniu by an average 1.73 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 85/100, 84.77% group success rate across 926 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Beijing Guoan and Sichuan Jiuniu ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.33 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sichuan Jiuniu at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.73 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.