Match context

The upcoming match between Shandong Luneng and Qingdao Jonoon is scheduled for 14.08.2026 11:35 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Shandong Luneng are in position 5 with 30 points after 21 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLW. Qingdao Jonoon are in position 16 with 14 points after 21 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

Shandong Luneng recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDLWLWWL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Qingdao Jonoon recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLDWDL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shandong Luneng recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Qingdao Jonoon recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.88 goals per match. Both teams scored in 62.5% of those matches, while 37.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Shandong Luneng to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.50%, 18.75% and 18.75%. The model momentum difference is 43.75 points in favour of Shandong Luneng. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.25%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Shandong Luneng 0 / Qingdao Jonoon 0 supports Qingdao Jonoon by an average 2.28 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 86/100, 85.82% group success rate across 402 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Shandong Luneng and Qingdao Jonoon ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.88 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Qingdao Jonoon at 0. The stored market movement was 2.28 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.